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Vitesse vs FC Emmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitesse host FC Emmen in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Vitesse have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against FC Emmen's 1.59 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Vitesse have won 2 to FC Emmen's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (2.00 - 1.88) back Vitesse to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vitesse
20%
Draws
51%
FC Emmen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Emmen haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse FC Emmen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs FC Emmen
3:3
Sep 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Vitesse
2:4
Feb 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs FC Emmen
2:0
Sep 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Vitesse
3:3
Feb 4, 2023 Eredivisie
FC Emmen vs Vitesse
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 30 / 100
FC Emmen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse FC Emmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMMF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vitesse scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

FC Emmen let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Vitesse went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS FC Emmen
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
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FC Emmen

(Away)
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3
FC Emmen
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)