Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitesse vs Maastricht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 GelreDome, Arnhem
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Silva Timas I.
46'
Sub
Buttner A. In: Thenu X.
Out: Buttner A.
60'
Pawirodihardjo J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Vitesse and Maastricht finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vitesse
35%
Draws
35%
Maastricht
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Maastricht haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitesse's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Maastricht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Maastricht
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Maastricht
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
2:2
Apr 1, 2000 Eredivisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 42 / 100
Maastricht 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Maastricht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maastricht conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Vitesse scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Vitesse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Maastricht
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
07 Aug
Vitesse
1 : 1
Waalwijk
18 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 2
Al Jazira
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
11 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 0
Dortmund II
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
Page 1 of 6

Maastricht

(Away)
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
01 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
28 Jul
Gent U23
1 : 0
Maastricht
25 Jul
Maastricht
3 : 4
SK Beveren
21 Jul
EVV
2 : 2
Maastricht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)