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Vitesse vs Maastricht Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 GelreDome, Arnhem
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Silva Timas I.
46'
Sub
Buttner A. In: Thenu X.
Out: Buttner A.
60'
Pawirodihardjo J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Vitesse and Maastricht finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vitesse
15%
Draws
37%
Maastricht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Maastricht haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitesse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 17%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Maastricht
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Maastricht
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Maastricht
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
2:2
Apr 1, 2000 Eredivisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 84 / 100
Maastricht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Maastricht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitesse found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Maastricht let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Vitesse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Maastricht
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Maastricht

(Away)
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2
Maastricht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)