Sport Picks

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Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Wobi, Bobo Dioulasso
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dah H. S.
85' Event
Sanou R.
Assist: Dah H. S.

AI Match Summary

Vitesse in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vitesse
30%
Draws
47%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitesse lately — more wins on the board than Sonabel Ouagadougou.
  • Win probability leans Vitesse's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Sonabel Ouagadougou
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Vitesse
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Vitesse
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Premier League
Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:3
Apr 29, 2024 Premier League
Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Dah H. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanou R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 36 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Sonabel Ouagadougou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Vitesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sonabel Ouagadougou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
10 May
Vitesse
0 : 0
Rahimo
03 May
CFFEB
3 : 2
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Away)
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)