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Vitesse vs Waalwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sellouf A.
38' Event
Bannis N.
Assist: Achouitar O.
42'
van de Loo T.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Vitesse and Waalwijk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vitesse
20%
Draws
51%
Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitesse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Waalwijk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 11%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Waalwijk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Waalwijk
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Waalwijk
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Vitesse
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 KNVB Beker
Waalwijk vs Vitesse
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs Vitesse
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Waalwijk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 18 / 100
Waalwijk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waalwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Vitesse found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vitesse has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Waalwijk
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
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Waalwijk

(Away)
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Waalwijk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)