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Stadium Background

Vitkovice vs Nove Mesto na Morave - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL Areal Vista, Ostrava
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Duda P.
24' Event
Stocek P.
46'
Sub
Ojetoye W. In: Klauco M.
Out: Ojetoye W.

AI Match Summary

Nove Mesto na Morave in this 3. MSFL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nove Mesto na Morave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vitkovice
30%
Draws
31%
Nove Mesto na Morave
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitkovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vitkovice average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of Nove Mesto na Morave's 1.52.
  • Model gives Vitkovice a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vitkovice Clean Sheet 20%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitkovice Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 3. MSFL
Vitkovice vs Nove Mesto na Morave
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Vitkovice
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 3. MSFL
Vitkovice vs Nove Mesto na Morave
2:4
May 13, 2023 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Vitkovice
0:2
Oct 15, 2022 3. MSFL
Vitkovice vs Nove Mesto na Morave
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitkovice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Stocek P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitkovice 58 / 100
Nove Mesto na Morave 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitkovice Nove Mesto na Morave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitkovice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitkovice scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nove Mesto na Morave conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vitkovice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitkovice VS Nove Mesto na Morave
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitkovice

(Home)
03 Oct
Sigma Olomouc B
2 : 1
Vitkovice
25 Sept
Zlin B
0 : 3
Vitkovice
20 Sept
Vitkovice
0 : 0
Artis Brno B
16 Sept
Vitkovice
0 : 3
Artis Brno
12 Sept
FK Blansko
0 : 0
Vitkovice
Page 1 of 6

Nove Mesto na Morave

(Away)
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
26 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
3 : 2
Hlubina
19 Sept
Vsetin
2 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
12 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 3
Brno B
05 Sept
SK Hranice
1 : 0
Nove Mesto na Morave
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artis Brno B 11 7 4 0 20:4 25
2 Brno B 11 7 2 2 24:16 23
3 Unicov 11 7 2 2 22:14 23
4 FK Frydek-Mistek 11 6 3 2 19:10 21
5 Sigma Olomouc B 11 6 1 4 20:13 19
6 SK Hranice 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
7 Vitkovice 11 4 4 3 12:9 16
8 Hlubina 11 4 3 4 26:22 15
9 Slovacko B 11 4 3 4 16:12 15
10 Uhersky Brod 11 4 3 4 18:18 15
11 Zlin B 11 4 3 4 13:16 15
12 Hodonin 11 4 2 5 14:13 14
13 Nove Mesto na Morave 11 4 2 5 13:20 14
14 Karvina B 11 3 2 6 15:21 11
15 Vsetin 11 3 1 7 11:24 10
16 FK Blansko 11 1 5 5 16:28 8
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
18 Havirov 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
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