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Vitoria da Conquista vs CE Flamengo

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Tatu
39' Event
Junior Todinho
43' Event
Josy
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Vitoria da Conquista in this Campeonato Baiano 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria da Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vitoria da Conquista
33%
Draws
40%
CE Flamengo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of CE Flamengo's 0.
  • Model gives CE Flamengo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 21%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista CE Flamengo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs CE Flamengo
3:1
Jan 31, 2016 Baiano
CE Flamengo vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Junior Todinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CE Flamengo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 29 / 100
CE Flamengo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vitoria da Conquista found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Vitoria da Conquista stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria10100027:430
2Bahia1063119:421
3Fluminense de Feira1062216:1320
4Vitoria da Conquista1043313:615
5Jacuipense104339:915
6Bahia de Feira1041513:2113
7Juazeirense1033412:1112
8Jacobina102359:149
9Atlantico EC1023511:189
10CE Flamengo101457:167
11Galicia100197:271