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Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Lucca
76' Event
Edson

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2024 game between Vitoria da Conquista and SSA finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria da Conquista
15%
Draws
51%
SSA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • SSA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria da Conquista's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SSA have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 68%
SSA Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista SSA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
1:1
Jul 14, 2024 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 50 / 100
SSA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista SSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SSA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria da Conquista found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

SSA has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS SSA
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

SSA

(Away)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 7 1 1 10:2 22
2 Grapiuna 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
3 Colo Colo 9 4 5 0 11:4 17
4 Porto-BA 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
5 SSA 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
7 Galicia 9 1 5 3 5:7 8
8 Leonico 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
9 Feirense 9 1 3 5 7:16 6
10 Jacobinense 9 0 2 7 5:21 2
Promotion - Baiano 2 2024 (Play Offs)