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Vitoria ES vs Aracruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria ES
35%
Draws
19%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vitoria ES a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Vitoria ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aracruz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Aracruz
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2013 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Aracruz
1:2
Feb 7, 2013 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Vitoria ES
1:1
Apr 20, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Vitoria ES
1:1
Apr 14, 2012 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Aracruz
1:1
Mar 31, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Vitoria ES
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 40 / 100
Aracruz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES scored in 70% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Aracruz conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vitoria ES stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Conilon 6
Rio Branco ES 3
Vitoria ES 2
Aracruz 2
Final
Conilon 3
Aracruz 5