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Stadium Background

Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitoria
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gustavo Tonoli
21' Event
Gustavo Tonoli
35'
Gilliard

AI Match Summary

Vitoria ES in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria ES
15%
Draws
39%
Capixaba SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria ES lately — more wins on the board than Capixaba SC.
  • Model gives Vitoria ES a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 68%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Capixaba SC
Matches Played 36 22
Wins 19 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.78 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vitoria ES
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC
2:0
May 10, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vitoria ES
0:4
Feb 12, 2025 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC
1:2
May 4, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Tonoli
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Capixaba SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 46 / 100
Capixaba SC 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Capixaba SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria ES scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Capixaba SC conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Vitoria ES went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS Capixaba SC
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 8

Capixaba SC

(Away)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)