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Stadium Background

Vitoria ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tiago Moura
22' Event
Jorge Mendes
26'
Jonata

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vitoria ES
30%
Draws
34%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria haven't matched Vitoria ES's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria ES's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Desportiva Ferroviaria
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:2
Jun 7, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Vitoria ES
1:0
May 11, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:0
Feb 8, 2024 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria ES Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Moura
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorge Mendes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 36 / 100
Desportiva Ferroviaria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Desportiva Ferroviaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

Desportiva Ferroviaria let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vitoria ES stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES962114:420
2Serra942310:614
3Vilavelhense94148:1013
4Rio Branco ES934210:613
5Porto Vitoria93427:513
6Desportiva Ferroviaria932410:1111
7Real Noroeste93249:1311
8Forte92525:411
9Capixaba SC93156:1310
10Rio Branco-VN90548:155