Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria ES vs Forte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitoria
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Joao Paulo
10' Event
Gustavo Tonoli
(Penalty)
15' Event
Vini

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria ES
35%
Draws
19%
Forte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria ES's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Vitoria ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria ES, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 68%
Forte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Forte
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.62 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Forte
4:1
Feb 23, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Vitoria ES
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Vitoria ES
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Forte Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Mariano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 59 / 100
Forte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Forte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Vitoria ES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forte has conceded goals in 52% of their last 21 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 6

Forte

(Away)
01 Mar
Vitoria ES
4 : 1
Forte
23 Feb
Forte
1 : 1
Vitoria ES
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
07 Feb
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Forte
05 Feb
Forte
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES 1
Porto Vitoria 2
Vitoria ES 5
Forte 2
Vilavelhense 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
Serra 2
Real Noroeste 2
Semi-finals
Porto Vitoria 6
Vitoria ES 5
Vilavelhense 1
Serra 3
Final
Porto Vitoria 4
Serra 3