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Vitoria ES vs Forte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Joao Paulo
10' Event
Gustavo Tonoli
(Penalty)
15' Event
Vini

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba game between Vitoria ES and Forte finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitoria ES
28%
Draws
22%
Forte
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vitoria ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria ES's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 68%
Forte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Forte
Matches Played 41 21
Wins 21 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Forte
4:1
Feb 23, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Vitoria ES
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Vitoria ES
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Forte Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Mariano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 59 / 100
Forte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Forte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria ES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES1
Porto Vitoria2
Vitoria ES5
Forte2
Vilavelhense2
Desportiva Ferroviaria2
Serra2
Real Noroeste2
Semi-finals
Porto Vitoria6
Vitoria ES5
Vilavelhense1
Serra3
Final
Porto Vitoria4
Serra3