Sport Picks
Vitoria ES vs Serra
Brazil
Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitoria 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Vitoria ES advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Vitoria ES come out ahead of Serra on wins alone.
- Model gives Vitoria ES a 50% chance of winning this.
- Vitoria ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vitoria ES, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vitoria ES have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria ES | Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 35 |
| Wins | 22 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria ES Compare
Serra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Vitoria ES found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (39 games).
Serra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.
Vitoria ES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria ES
(Home)Serra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Vitoria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco-VN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport-ES | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 6 |
| 7 | Serra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Audax Sao Mateus | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | 4 |