Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Leca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Academia Vitoria SC, Guimarães 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Reis N. In: Mesquita B.
Out: Reis N.
27'
27'
Diego Fernandes
31'
31'
Ferreira R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Vitoria Guimaraes B and Leca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Leca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Vitoria Guimaraes B have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 20%
Leca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes B | Leca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Leca
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Leca
3:4
May 11, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leca vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare
Top Goalscorer Tepe M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Leca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Guimaraes B 32 / 100
Leca 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Guimaraes B Leca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Vitoria Guimaraes B scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Leca has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Vitoria Guimaraes B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Guimaraes B VS Leca
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Guimaraes B
(Home) 12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 FC Felgueiras
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3 Amarante FC
03 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 2 Mafra
Page 1 of 3
Leca
(Away) 20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Leca
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4 Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Leca
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4 Leca
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Leca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
