Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Leca
Portugal
Liga 3 Academia Vitoria SC, Guimarães 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Reis N. In: Mesquita B.
Out: Reis N.
27'
27'
Diego Fernandes
31'
31'
Ferreira R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Vitoria Guimaraes B and Leca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Vitoria Guimaraes B's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Vitoria Guimaraes B have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 68%
Leca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes B | Leca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Leca
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Leca
3:4
May 11, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leca vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare
Top Goalscorer Tepe M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Leca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Guimaraes B 86 / 100
Leca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Guimaraes B Leca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Guimaraes B's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Leca has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Vitoria Guimaraes B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Guimaraes B VS Leca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Guimaraes B
(Home) 15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 FC Felgueiras
25 Jul
Chaves
2 : 3 Vitoria Guimaraes B
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3 Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 FC Felgueiras
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3 Amarante FC
03 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 2 Mafra
19 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 1 Santarem
Page 1 of 3
Leca
(Away) 15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Leca
22 May
Rebordosa
2 : 1 Leca
17 May
SC Vianense
3 : 4 Leca
10 May
GD Braganca
1 : 1 Leca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Varzim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 | AD Fafe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Sao Joao de Ver | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Leca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 10 | Trofense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Atletico CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Covilha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Louletano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 9 | Santarem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
