Sport Picks

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Liga 3 Academia Vitoria SC, Guimarães

Match Events

10'

Castro T.

Assist: Dias L.

39'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes B host Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Vitoria Guimaraes B at 1.23 goals for, 1.07 against; Pacos Ferreira at 0.86 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Pacos Ferreira slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2019, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.94) back Vitoria Guimaraes B to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Vitoria Guimaraes B

35%

Draws

19%

Pacos Ferreira

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vitoria Guimaraes B come out ahead of Pacos Ferreira on wins alone.
46% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria Guimaraes B taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 68%

Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vitoria Guimaraes B	Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	7
Draws	8	9
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.23	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Liga Portugal 2

Pacos Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

4:1

Oct 28, 2018 Liga Portugal 2

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes B 68 / 100

Pacos Ferreira 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vitoria Guimaraes B Pacos Ferreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes B found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Pacos Ferreira let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes B VS Pacos Ferreira

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History