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Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cifarelli L.
27' Event
Pavlic I.
51' Event
Dos Santos Amado B.

AI Match Summary

Academica U23 in this Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
44%
Draws
20%
Academica U23
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica U23 have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Academica U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Academica U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
4:1
Jan 22, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23
1:2
Oct 29, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
1:2
Aug 19, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23
4:1
Mar 15, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos Amado B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Academica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cifarelli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 35 / 100
Academica U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Academica U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica U23 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Academica U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 VS Academica U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%