Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio D. Afonso Henriques 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Casa Pia in this Liga Portugal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casa Pia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Casa Pia haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Vitoria Guimaraes's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria Guimaraes Compare
Casa Pia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Casa Pia let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Vitoria Guimaraes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |