Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Leiria
World
Club Friendly 
AI Match Summary
Vitoria Guimaraes host Leiria in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Vitoria Guimaraes have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Leiria's 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2024, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.13) back Vitoria Guimaraes to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leiria have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Vitoria Guimaraes are scoring more at 1.5.
- Model gives Vitoria Guimaraes a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vitoria Guimaraes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes | Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 76% of their last 25 games.
Leiria let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Vitoria Guimaraes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.