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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes host Santos in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Vitoria Guimaraes have averaged 1.35 scored and 1.12 conceded recently, against Santos's 1.66 scored and 1.16 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.72 - 0.85) back Santos to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vitoria Guimaraes
30%
Draws
47%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes.
  • Model gives Vitoria Guimaraes a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Santos
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.35 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 36 / 100
Santos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Santos let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS Santos
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
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Santos

(Away)
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
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