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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santos

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes host Santos in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Vitoria Guimaraes have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Santos's 1.75 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back Vitoria Guimaraes to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vitoria Guimaraes
6%
Draws
4%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Guimaraes lately — more wins on the board than Santos.
  • Model gives Vitoria Guimaraes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Santos
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 85 / 100
Santos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Santos let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS Santos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
2 : 0
Academica
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
5 : 0
Penafiel
11 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
3 : 1
FC Felgueiras
16 May
Nacional
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
11 May
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 1
Casa Pia
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Santos

(Away)
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1
Santos
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
30 May
Santos
3 : 1
Vitoria
27 May
Santos
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
23 May
Gremio
3 : 2
Santos
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