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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Vizela

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Silva T.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vitoria Guimaraes
39%
Draws
31%
Vizela
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won more games recently than Vizela.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vitoria Guimaraes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 20%
Vizela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Vizela
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Vizela
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Liga Portugal
Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:1
Aug 27, 2023 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Vizela
2:0
May 7, 2023 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Vizela
3:0
Dec 30, 2022 Liga Portugal
Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vizela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 31 / 100
Vizela 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Vizela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Vizela conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vitoria Guimaraes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS Vizela
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%