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Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Braga W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Academia Vitoria SC
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Halldorsdottir A.
Penalty Missed
32'
Alagoa M.
44' Event
Mariano M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women game between Vitoria Guimaraes W and Braga W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
33%
Draws
27%
Braga W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes W haven't matched Braga W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vitoria Guimaraes W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Braga W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 16%
Braga W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes W Braga W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Braga W
1:4
Jan 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Braga W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marques V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Braga W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes W 39 / 100
Braga W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes W Braga W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria Guimaraes W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Braga W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Vitoria Guimaraes W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes W VS Braga W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W18153058:1148
2Sporting W18105335:1635
3Torreense W18102629:2232
4Valadares Gaia W1875621:2226
5Braga W1866626:2124
6Vitoria Guimaraes W1849516:2321
7Racing Power W1846816:2318
8Rio Ave W1845910:1817
9Maritimo W18421219:4014
10Damaiense W18251117:5111