Sport Picks
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Vitoria Sernache and Fatima finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vitoria Sernache
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vitoria Sernache carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Vitoria Sernache a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 68%
Fatima Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Sernache | Fatima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.14 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Vitoria Sernache
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Vitoria Sernache
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
1:1
Jan 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Sernache 50 / 100
Fatima 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Sernache Fatima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Sernache found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Fatima conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Vitoria Sernache went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Sernache VS Fatima
0.88 Goals Scored 1.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Sernache
(Home) 10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1 Louletano
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Oliveira Hospital
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
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31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1 Louletano
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Oliveira Hospital
03 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Malveira
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0 Mortagua FC
25 Mar
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4
Fatima
(Away) 18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3 Fatima
04 Apr
Fatima
2 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
29 Mar
Fatima
0 : 2 Oliveira Hospital
22 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 0 Fatima
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12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3 Fatima
22 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 0 Fatima
08 Mar
Mortagua FC
0 : 1 Fatima
14 Feb
GD Peniche
1 : 1 Fatima
25 Jan
Marinhense
2 : 1 Fatima
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
