Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria Sernache vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, Cernache do Bonjardim
Vitoria Sernache Logo

Vitoria Sernache

1 - 1
FT
Louletano Logo

Louletano

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ferreira L.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Santos M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vitoria Sernache
15%
Draws
57%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Louletano lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Sernache.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 17%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Sernache Louletano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Sernache vs Louletano
1:1
May 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Louletano vs Vitoria Sernache
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Sernache Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Louletano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Sernache 36 / 100
Louletano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Sernache Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Sernache scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Louletano let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Vitoria Sernache remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Sernache VS Louletano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Sernache

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)