Sport Picks

Vitoria Sernache vs Vieira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2014/2015

Vitoria Sernache

Sun, Oct 19, 2014

1 - 2

01:30 PM

Vieira

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Vieira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Vitoria Sernache

15%

Draws

34%

Vieira

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Sernache

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vitoria Sernache come out ahead of Vieira on wins alone.
Vitoria Sernache are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Vitoria Sernache have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Vieira, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 20%

Vieira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vitoria Sernache	Vieira
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	9	10
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.07	0.77
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2014 Taça de Portugal

Vitoria Sernache vs Vieira

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Sernache 58 / 100

Vieira 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vitoria Sernache Vieira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Sernache Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vieira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Vitoria Sernache found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vieira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Sernache VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Sernache

(Home)

19 Sept

Vitoria Sernache

2 : 1

Varzim

13 Sept

Caldas SC

2 : 0

Vitoria Sernache

06 Sept

Vitoria Sernache

1 : 3

CF Os Belenenses

30 Aug

GD Os Nazarenos

0 : 3

Vitoria Sernache

23 Aug

Oliveirense

3 : 2

Vitoria Sernache

Page 1 of 6

Vieira

(Away)

21 Sept

Tirsense

2 : 0

Vieira

08 Sept

Vieira

2 : 0

Pedras Salgadas

05 Aug

Dumiense

2 : 0

Vieira

09 Sept

Merelinense

3 : 1

Vieira

23 May

Vieira

1 : 1

Pedras Salgadas

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Braga -

TBD -

Minas de Argozelo -

TBD -

Piense 2

Alcains 3

Moura AC 3

Sobrado 2

TBD -

CDC Montalegre -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Anadia -

TBD -

Pedras Rubras -

Covilha -

TBD -

FC Cesarense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Freamunde -

TBD -

Agueda -

Ribeirinha -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

FC Felgueiras 3

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Sacavenense -

TBD -

Vieira -

Trofense -

TBD -

Nogueirense 1

Febres 0

Atletico Ouriense 3

Soito 1

TBD -

Pedras Salgadas -

AD Oliveirense -

TBD -

Correlha 0

GS Loures 2

TBD -

BSAD -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Real SC -

Estoril -

TBD -

Malveira 4

Lusitano VRSA 1

SC Mirandela 1

Varzim 2

Aves -

TBD -

Aljustrelense -

TBD -

Boavista -

Tondela -

TBD -

Electrico FC -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Chaves -

TBD -

Louletano -

Silves FC -

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Amora -

TBD -

U. Madeira -

Mafra 1

Amarante FC 0

TBD -

Feirense -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Oliveira Hospital 1

Uniao Montemor 4

Mosteirense -

TBD -

SC Salgueiros -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Cinfaes -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Nacional -

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

TBD -

Alcanenense -

Torreense -

TBD -

Marinhense -

CD Gouveia -

TBD -

Ribeirao -

Santa Eulalia -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Santa Clara -

TBD -

GD Sourense -

Academica -

TBD -

Caldas SC 3

Fazendense 2

GD Braganca 1

Santa Maria FC 2

Oriental -

TBD -

SC Farense -

CDR Quarteirense -

TBD -

Olhanense -

Arouca -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Moimenta da Beira -

Sintrense -

TBD -

Beira Mar -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Vilaverdense FC -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Famalicao 3

Ferreiras 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

AD Limianos 1

Fabril do Barreiro 0

TBD -

SC Pombal -

Mortagua FC -

TBD -

Camara de Lobos -

Naval -

TBD -

Pinhalnovense 0

AD Fafe 1

Riachense 4

Sao Joao de Ver 3

TBD -

SC Praiense -

Sertanense 2

FC Pampilhosa 0

TBD -

SB Castelo Branco -

Atletico SC 5

GD Tourizense 3

TBD -

Paivense -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Vizela 3

Cerveira 1

Gafanha 0

Sousense 2

SC Vila Real 2

1º Dezembro 1

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Leiria -

Lusitano FCV 2

Estarreja 0

TBD -

Operario -

SC Espinho 1

Camacha 0

TBD -

Sanjoanense -

SC Vianense 2

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Serzedo -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

1/64-finals

Braga -

TBD -

Minas de Argozelo 0

Alcains 1

Moura AC 2

CDC Montalegre 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Anadia 1

Pedras Rubras 2

Covilha 3

FC Cesarense 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Freamunde 2

Agueda 1

Ribeirinha 0

FC Felgueiras 3

Vitoria Sernache 1

SC Angrense 0

Sacavenense 0

Vieira 1

Trofense 6

Febres 0

Atletico Ouriense 1

Pedras Salgadas 2

AD Oliveirense 3

GS Loures 2

TBD -

BSAD -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Portimonense 1

Real SC 2

Estoril -

TBD -

Malveira 1

Varzim 5

Aves 3

Aljustrelense 0

TBD -

Boavista -

Tondela 3

Electrico FC 2

TBD -

Penafiel -

Chaves 3

Louletano 1

Silves FC 0

Cova De Piedade 1

Amora 3

U. Madeira 2

Mafra 1

Feirense 2

Oliveirense 2

Uniao Montemor 0

Mosteirense 0

SC Salgueiros 4

Coimbroes 2

Cinfaes 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Nacional -

TBD -

Lusitania FC 0

Alcanenense 2

Torreense 6

Marinhense 0

CD Gouveia 0

Ribeirao 4

Santa Eulalia 2

Leixoes 1

Santa Clara 1

GD Sourense 2

Academica -

TBD -

Caldas SC 1

Santa Maria FC 2

Oriental 3

SC Farense 2

CDR Quarteirense 0

Olhanense 2

Arouca -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Atletico CP 4

Moimenta da Beira 0

Sintrense 2

Beira Mar 4

Gondomar 2

Vilaverdense FC 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

Famalicao 2

Academico Viseu 1

AD Limianos 0

SC Pombal 1

Mortagua FC 2

Camara de Lobos 0

Naval 0

AD Fafe 2

Riachense 3

SC Praiense 2

Sertanense 0

SB Castelo Branco 1

Atletico SC 3

Paivense 1

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Vizela 4

Sousense 3

SC Vila Real 2

Casa Pia 3

Tirsense 2

Leiria 1

Lusitano FCV 1

Operario 2

SC Espinho 1

Sanjoanense 0

SC Vianense 0

Serzedo 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

1/32-finals

Braga 4

Alcains 1

Moura AC 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Moreirense 2

Pedras Rubras 1

Covilha 2

Benfica 3

Freamunde 3

FC Felgueiras 2

Vitoria Sernache 1

Vieira 2

Trofense 3

Pedras Salgadas 1

AD Oliveirense 2

BSAD 3

Gil Vicente 2

Real SC 1

Estoril 1

Varzim 2

Aves 4

Boavista 1

Tondela 2

Penafiel 3

Chaves 7

Cova De Piedade 0

Amora 1

Feirense 5

Oliveirense 3

SC Salgueiros 1

Coimbroes 0

Rio Ave 1

Nacional 6

Alcanenense 1

Torreense 0

Ribeirao 2

Santa Eulalia 1

GD Sourense 0

Academica 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Oriental 4

Olhanense 2

Arouca 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Atletico CP 3

Beira Mar 0

Gondomar 0

Maritimo 4

Famalicao 2

SC Pombal 1

Mortagua FC 1

AD Fafe 3

Riachense 2

SB Castelo Branco 1

Atletico SC 0

Pacos Ferreira 4

Vizela 4

Casa Pia 1

Tirsense 1

Operario 3

SC Espinho 2

Serzedo 1

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 3

1/16-finals

Braga 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Moreirense 1

Benfica 4

Freamunde 1

Vieira 0

Trofense 0

BSAD 5

Gil Vicente 2

Varzim 1

Aves 0

Penafiel 1

Chaves 2

Feirense 0

Oliveirense 0

Rio Ave 2

Nacional 2

Ribeirao 0

Santa Eulalia 1

Santa Maria FC 2

Oriental 1

Vitoria Setubal 0

Atletico CP 0

Maritimo 2

Famalicao 4

AD Fafe 0

Riachense 0

Pacos Ferreira 9

Vizela 3

Operario 2

SC Espinho 0

Sporting CP 5

1/8-finals

Braga 2

Benfica 1

Freamunde 0

BSAD 2

Gil Vicente 2

Penafiel 1

Chaves 0

Rio Ave 2

Nacional 2

Santa Maria FC 1

Oriental 1

Maritimo 2

Famalicao 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Vizela 2

Sporting CP 3

Quarter-finals

Braga 7

BSAD 1

Gil Vicente 2

Rio Ave 5

Nacional 2

Maritimo 1

Famalicao 0

Sporting CP 4

Semi-finals

Braga 4

Rio Ave 1

Nacional 2

Sporting CP 3

Final

Braga 2

Sporting CP 3

Vitoria Sernache vs Vieira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Vitoria Sernache

Vieira

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Sernache

Vieira

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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