Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal
Vitoria Setubal Logo

Vitoria Setubal

3 - 0
FT
Juv. Evora Logo

Juv. Evora

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Eli
53' Event
Montez A.
63' Event
da Silva Pinto D. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Setubal in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Setubal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vitoria Setubal
30%
Draws
37%
Juv. Evora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juv. Evora lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Setubal.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Juv. Evora taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 14%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Setubal Juv. Evora
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 13
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Vitoria Setubal
1:1
Jan 23, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Vitoria Setubal
2:5
Dec 13, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Setubal Compare

Top Goalscorer Eli
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Juv. Evora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Setubal 19 / 100
Juv. Evora 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Setubal Juv. Evora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Setubal's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Juv. Evora has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Vitoria Setubal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Setubal VS Juv. Evora
1.6 Goals Scored 1.38
1.8 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Setubal

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
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Juv. Evora

(Away)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)