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Vitoria U20 vs Doce Mel U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria U20 in this Baiano U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria U20
15%
Draws
39%
Doce Mel U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria U20 lately — more wins on the board than Doce Mel U20.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria U20 taking it.
  • Regular Baiano U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vitoria U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria U20 Doce Mel U20
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 18 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Doce Mel U20
3:0
Jul 11, 2021 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Doce Mel U20
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria U20 76 / 100
Doce Mel U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria U20 Doce Mel U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria U20 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Doce Mel U20 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 23 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vitoria U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria U20 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Vitoria U20
3 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
11 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
1 : 0
Vitoria U20
04 Jul
Vitoria U20
1 : 0
Barcelona FC U20
01 Jul
Athletico-PR U20
2 : 0
Vitoria U20
28 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
0 : 5
Vitoria U20
Page 1 of 7

Doce Mel U20

(Away)
07 May
Alagoinhas U20
2 : 1
Doce Mel U20
30 Apr
Doce Mel U20
2 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
23 Apr
Leonico U20
1 : 3
Doce Mel U20
19 Apr
Doce Mel U20
2 : 4
Vitoria da Conquista U20
15 Apr
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Doce Mel U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia de Feira U20 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Bahia U20 8 6 0 2 16:8 18
3 Jacuipense U20 8 5 1 2 15:6 16
4 Atlantico EC U20 8 3 3 2 15:12 12
5 SSA U20 8 3 3 2 12:16 12
6 Itabuna U20 8 4 0 4 15:20 12
7 Juazeiro U20 8 2 0 6 12:22 6
8 UNIRB U20 8 1 1 6 11:16 4
9 Juazeirense U20 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Baiano U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 9 8 1 0 30:3 25
2 Camacariense U20 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Conquista FC U20 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
4 Atlantico EC U20 8 3 3 2 15:12 12
5 Vitoria da Conquista U20 8 4 0 4 11:11 12
6 Jacobinense U20 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
7 Doce Mel U20 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
8 Alagoinhas U20 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
9 Leonico U20 9 2 1 6 12:30 7
10 Esporte Clube Pocoes U20 9 0 0 9 5:25 0
Promotion - Baiano U20 2023 (Play Offs)