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Vitoria W vs AD Astro W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Baiano Women 2023
Vitoria W Logo

Vitoria W

3 - 1
FT
AD Astro W Logo

AD Astro W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women 2023 game between Vitoria W and AD Astro W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vitoria W
15%
Draws
42%
AD Astro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 14%
AD Astro W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W AD Astro W
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 0
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 2.27 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs AD Astro W
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Baiano Women
AD Astro W vs Vitoria W
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs AD Astro W
3:1
Oct 12, 2022 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs AD Astro W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 84 / 100
AD Astro W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W AD Astro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Vitoria W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AD Astro W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
Page 1 of 7

AD Astro W

(Away)
16 Sept
Vitoria W
1 : 0
AD Astro W
10 Sept
AD Astro W
2 : 1
Vitoria W
02 Sept
AD Astro W
3 : 0
Jacuipense W
26 Aug
Alagoinhas W
1 : 2
AD Astro W
23 Aug
AD Astro W
7 : 0
Redencao W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)