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Vitoria W vs Leonico W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria W in this Baiano Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vitoria W
15%
Draws
0%
Leonico W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria W lately — more wins on the board than Leonico W.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 10%
Leonico W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W Leonico W
Matches Played 43 14
Wins 21 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 2.7 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.49 6.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2023 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Leonico W
5:0
Oct 15, 2022 Baiano Women
Leonico W vs Vitoria W
0:13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 83 / 100
Leonico W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W Leonico W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico W let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Leonico W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vitoria W scored in 74% of their last 43 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
15 Aug
Bragantino W
6 : 2
Vitoria W
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Leonico W

(Away)
02 Sept
Lusaca W
8 : 0
Leonico W
26 Aug
Leonico W
0 : 8
Bahia W
23 Aug
Vitoria W
5 : 0
Leonico W
19 Aug
Leonico W
0 : 1
AD Astro W
13 Aug
Jacuipense W
2 : 1
Leonico W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)