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Vittoriosa vs Zurrieq Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Caruana A.
34' Event
Aquilina G.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Brafo B.

AI Match Summary

Vittoriosa in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vittoriosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vittoriosa
15%
Draws
39%
Zurrieq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vittoriosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vittoriosa haven't matched Zurrieq's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Vittoriosa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 15%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vittoriosa Zurrieq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Zurrieq
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Zurrieq
0:1
Nov 3, 2022 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs Vittoriosa
2:1
Mar 8, 2015 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs Vittoriosa
1:2
Nov 1, 2014 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Zurrieq
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vittoriosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Caruana A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brafo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zurrieq Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vittoriosa 48 / 100
Zurrieq 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vittoriosa Zurrieq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vittoriosa scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Zurrieq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vittoriosa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vittoriosa VS Zurrieq
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vittoriosa

(Home)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
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Zurrieq

(Away)
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2
Victoria Hotspurs
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0
Zurrieq
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
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