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Viva Kerala vs Mohun Bagan

India India

I-League 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
(Penalty)
48' Event
82'

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this I-League 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Viva Kerala
6%
Draws
90%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan have won more games recently than Viva Kerala.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Viva Kerala Clean Sheet 18%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viva Kerala Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 7 32
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2012 I-League
Viva Kerala vs Mohun Bagan
1:3
Oct 28, 2011 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Viva Kerala
2:1
Mar 5, 2011 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Viva Kerala
2:1
Jan 4, 2011 I-League
Viva Kerala vs Mohun Bagan
2:0
May 11, 2010 I-League
Viva Kerala vs Mohun Bagan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viva Kerala 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viva Kerala Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viva Kerala scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mohun Bagan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 45 matches.

Solid form: Viva Kerala remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mohun Bagan
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Viva Kerala

(Home)
06 May
Viva Kerala
5 : 2
Mumbai
29 Apr
Salgaocar SC
1 : 0
Viva Kerala
25 Apr
Viva Kerala
0 : 3
AIFF XI
16 Apr
East Bengal
4 : 3
Viva Kerala
04 Apr
Churchill Brothers
4 : 0
Viva Kerala
Page 1 of 6

Mohun Bagan

(Away)
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
21 May
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
SC Delhi
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
12 May
Mohun Bagan
0 : 0
Inter Kashi
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dempo26183559:2157
2East Bengal26156546:2251
3Churchill Brothers26146647:2848
4Mohun Bagan26138551:3247
5Pune26137644:3446
6Salgaocar SC26128632:1944
7United SC26119641:3242
8SC Goa26117853:4340
9Air India26951230:3732
10Lajong26771224:4428
11Mumbai26731631:5224
12Viva Kerala26621828:5020
13AIFF XI262101417:4016
14Hindustan Aeronautics26152019:688
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