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Viveiro vs Compostela

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
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Match Events

16' Event
Noya D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Viveiro and Compostela finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Viveiro
20%
Draws
44%
Compostela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Compostela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Compostela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 19%
Compostela Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viveiro Compostela
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Compostela
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Viveiro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viveiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Noya D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viveiro 36 / 100
Compostela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viveiro Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Compostela conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Viveiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Compostela has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Viveiro VS Compostela
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Viveiro

(Home)
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
25 Apr
Estradense
2 : 0
Viveiro
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Compostela

(Away)
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)