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Viveiro vs Paiosaco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Martin M.
70' Event
Rolle F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Viveiro and Paiosaco finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viveiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Viveiro
15%
Draws
65%
Paiosaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Viveiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 20%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viveiro Paiosaco
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.08 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Paiosaco
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Viveiro
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Viveiro
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Paiosaco
2:0
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Paiosaco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viveiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rolle F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Paiosaco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viveiro 36 / 100
Paiosaco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viveiro Paiosaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paiosaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viveiro scored in 63% of their last 38 games.

Paiosaco let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Viveiro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Viveiro VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Viveiro

(Home)
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2
Viveiro
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Antela
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 8

Paiosaco

(Away)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)