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Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Montevarchi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

67'

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro and Montevarchi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
44%
Draws
20%
Montevarchi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Montevarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 19%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Montevarchi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 9
Draws 14 15
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Montevarchi
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Montevarchi
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1:1
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Montevarchi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 36 / 100
Montevarchi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Montevarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Montevarchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro VS Montevarchi
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

(Home)
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1
Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6

Montevarchi

(Away)
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)