Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vizela vs Leiria

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Lacava M.
12' Event
Fortune Y.
Assist: Ntolla N.
20'
Moreira M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Vizela and Leiria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vizela
33%
Draws
40%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leiria come out ahead of Vizela on wins alone.
  • Leiria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vizela Clean Sheet 16%
Leiria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela Leiria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Leiria
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Vizela
2:2
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Leiria
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Vizela
0:2
Apr 4, 2009 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Vizela
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortune Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Leiria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela 28 / 100
Leiria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leiria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vizela found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Vizela VS Leiria
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vizela

(Home)
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2
Vizela
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3
Braga B
18 Jul
Vizela
1 : 0
Chaves
14 Jul
Vizela
0 : 5
Braga
11 Jul
Vizela
0 : 3
AD Fafe
Page 1 of 6

Leiria

(Away)
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
09 May
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)