Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vizela vs Leiria

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ntolla N.
Assist: Bamba G.
57'
Sub
Caicedo A. In: Ramos R.
Out: Caicedo A.
61'
Sub
Martins D. In: Oliveira P.
Out: Martins D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Vizela and Leiria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vizela
15%
Draws
42%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vizela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Leiria's 1.54 goals per match outpaces what Vizela have produced (0.93).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vizela taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vizela here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vizela Clean Sheet 16%
Leiria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela Leiria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Leiria
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Leiria
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Vizela
2:2
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Leiria
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Vizela
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntolla N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Leiria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela 36 / 100
Leiria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leiria conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Leiria has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vizela found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Vizela VS Leiria
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vizela

(Home)
16 Aug
Portimonense
2 : 0
Vizela
09 Aug
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
01 Aug
Vizela
0 : 1
Celta Vigo B
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2
Vizela
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3
Braga B
Page 1 of 6

Leiria

(Away)
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
09 Aug
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 SC Farense 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Portimonense 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Lusitania FC 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
5 Benfica B 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
6 Sporting CP B 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
7 Leixoes 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Vizela 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Tondela 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 FC Felgueiras 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Torreense 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 Penafiel 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 AFS 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Feirense 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Leiria 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
16 Amarante FC 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 Chaves 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 FC Porto B 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)