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Vizela vs Lusitania FC

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Vizela
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rocha L.
Assist: Lacava M.
11' Event
Pereira M.
Assist: Fabinho
28' Event
Fortune Y.
Assist: Moha Moukhliss

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Vizela and Lusitania FC finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vizela
6%
Draws
90%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lusitania FC come out ahead of Vizela on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lusitania FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vizela Clean Sheet 18%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela Lusitania FC
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Lusitania FC
4:3
Oct 29, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Vizela
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Vizela
4:3
Jul 24, 2019 Club Friendly
Vizela vs Lusitania FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela Compare

Top Goalscorer Morschel H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiago Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela 10 / 100
Lusitania FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela Lusitania FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Lusitania FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vizela's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vizela VS Lusitania FC
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934