Sport Picks

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Vizela vs Pacos Ferreira

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Vizela
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Ramos R.
42'
Rafa
44'
Sousa A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Vizela and Pacos Ferreira finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vizela
33%
Draws
40%
Pacos Ferreira
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pacos Ferreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira's 1 goals per match outpaces what Vizela have produced (0.5).
  • Pacos Ferreira are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vizela have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vizela Clean Sheet 22%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Pacos Ferreira
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Vizela
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Pacos Ferreira
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Vizela
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Vizela vs Pacos Ferreira
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela Compare

Top Goalscorer Busnic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela 29 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela Pacos Ferreira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vizela scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Pacos Ferreira let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Vizela stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vizela VS Pacos Ferreira
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934