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VJS vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion
5 - 3
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VJS play Jaro in the Suomen Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, VJS averaged 2.94 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Jaro averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, VJS won 1, Jaro won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for VJS and 1.63 for Jaro. This points to a VJS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
VJS
20%
Draws
25%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VJS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • VJS picked up more points recently compared to Jaro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
VJS Clean Sheet 14%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VJS Jaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.94 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Suomen Cup
VJS vs Jaro
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VJS Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahja J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koivunen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Vikstrom J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skau J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VJS 52 / 100
Jaro 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VJS Jaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VJS Win (1)
Secondary Pick VJS & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VJS attacking → ← attacking Jaro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VJS scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Jaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

VJS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jaro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 36
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25