Sport Picks
Match Events
85'
85'
Gjini E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Vllaznia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogradeci
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of Vllaznia on wins alone.
- Model gives Pogradeci a 90% chance of winning this.
- Pogradeci arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vllaznia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vllaznia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vllaznia Clean Sheet 20%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vllaznia | Pogradeci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.83 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
Vllaznia vs Pogradeci
1:0
Nov 17, 2021 Albanian Cup
Vllaznia vs Pogradeci
6:1
Nov 3, 2021 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs Vllaznia
0:2
Sep 30, 2015 Albanian Cup
Vllaznia vs Pogradeci
4:0
Sep 16, 2015 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs Vllaznia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vllaznia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gjini E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Pogradeci Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vllaznia 10 / 100
Pogradeci 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vllaznia Pogradeci
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Vllaznia scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Pogradeci conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Vllaznia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vllaznia VS Pogradeci
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vllaznia
(Home) 15 Jul
Malisheva
5 : 0 Vllaznia
09 Jul
Vllaznia
2 : 1 Malisheva
01 Jul
Lok. Zagreb
2 : 1 Vllaznia
29 Jun
Campionii Arges
5 : 2 Vllaznia
27 Jun
Koper
4 : 2 Vllaznia
Page 1 of 7
09 Jul
Vllaznia
2 : 1 Malisheva
17 Jun
Vllaznia
1 : 1 Decic
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2 AF Elbasani
23 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2 KF Egnatia
16 May
Vllaznia
0 : 2 Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 4
Pogradeci
(Away) 16 May
Teuta
1 : 0 Pogradeci
11 May
Pogradeci
1 : 0 Besa Kavaje
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0 Kastrioti
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0 Pogradeci
25 Apr
Pogradeci
1 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Teuta
1 : 0 Pogradeci
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0 Pogradeci
19 Apr
Laci
2 : 0 Pogradeci
28 Mar
Struga
0 : 0 Pogradeci
22 Mar
Burreli
0 : 3 Pogradeci
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca5
Basania FC2
Iliria Kruja5
Luzi1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje5
Shkumbini Peqin0
Kukesi3
Terbuni Puka1
Bylis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Laci3
Kelcyra0
AF Luftetari2
KF Oriku0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Delvina0
Korabi Peshkopi4
Koplik1
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Maliqi2
Erzeni Shijak0
Librazhd2
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Beselidhja Lezha0
Lushnja2
Butrinti Sarande1
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari5
Kucove0
KF Valbona-
Tomori Berat-
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Burreli3
Albanet1
Kastrioti3
KS Devolli2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Iliria Kruja2
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje3
Kukesi1
Bylis-
TBD-
Laci2
AF Luftetari0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Korabi Peshkopi3
Teuta-
TBD-
Vora2
Librazhd1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Lushnja2
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
Flamurtari9
Tomori Berat0
Partizani-
TBD-
Burreli5
Kastrioti2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana2
Skenderbeu Korca1
Dinamo Tirana3
Besa Kavaje0
Bylis3
Laci2
Vllaznia1
Pogradeci0
Teuta2
Vora0
KF Egnatia1
Apolonia Fier0
AF Elbasani2
Flamurtari1
Partizani3
Burreli0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana0
Dinamo Tirana4
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Teuta1
KF Egnatia2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Dinamo Tirana2
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia3
AF Elbasani2
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2