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VMA vs Balkan

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
VMA Logo

VMA

2 - 3
FT
Balkan Logo

Balkan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between VMA and Balkan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balkan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VMA
15%
Draws
49%
Balkan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Balkan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Balkan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
VMA Clean Sheet 19%
Balkan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VMA Balkan
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.57
Goals Conceded 3 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
VMA vs Balkan
2:3
Jun 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs VMA
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VMA 16 / 100
Balkan 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VMA Balkan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Balkan conceded in 97% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

VMA's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Balkan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Balkan
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VMA

(Home)
22 Oct
Hassleholms IF
7 : 0
VMA
15 Oct
VMA
0 : 4
Kristianstad
08 Oct
Simrishamn
4 : 0
VMA
01 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
0 : 1
VMA
23 Sept
VMA
2 : 3
Balkan
Page 1 of 6

Balkan

(Away)
10 Jun
Balkan
2 : 3
Eskilsminne
19 Oct
Solvesborgs
3 : 0
Balkan
13 Oct
Balkan
1 : 2
Osterlen FF
06 Oct
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
Balkan
29 Sept
Balkan
1 : 1
Torns
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)