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VMA vs Nosaby IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between VMA and Nosaby IF finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nosaby IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
VMA
15%
Draws
64%
Nosaby IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nosaby IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nosaby IF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
VMA Clean Sheet 19%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VMA Nosaby IF
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 17
Draws 2 11
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.95
Goals Conceded 3 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
VMA vs Nosaby IF
1:5
May 5, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs VMA
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VMA 10 / 100
Nosaby IF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VMA Nosaby IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosaby IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosaby IF has conceded goals in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

VMA scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: VMA stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nosaby IF
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VMA

(Home)
22 Oct
Hassleholms IF
7 : 0
VMA
15 Oct
VMA
0 : 4
Kristianstad
08 Oct
Simrishamn
4 : 0
VMA
01 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
0 : 1
VMA
23 Sept
VMA
2 : 3
Balkan
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Nosaby IF

(Away)
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
22 Aug
Nosaby IF
5 : 0
Torns
18 Aug
Nosaby IF
0 : 3
IFK Trelleborg
14 Aug
Solvesborgs
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)