Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vogherese vs Borgosesia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Losio T.

AI Match Summary

Vogherese in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vogherese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vogherese
20%
Draws
80%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vogherese lately — more wins on the board than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Borgosesia Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vogherese Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 5 2
Draws 7 5
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 0.69 0.52
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Vogherese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vogherese Compare

Top Goalscorer Losio T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vogherese 10 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vogherese Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgosesia Calcio let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vogherese scored in 54% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Borgosesia Calcio's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vogherese VS Borgosesia Calcio
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vogherese

(Home)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 7

Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)