Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vogherese vs Ciserano-Bergamo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Fornari M.

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vogherese
30%
Draws
70%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciserano-Bergamo lately — more wins on the board than Vogherese.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ciserano-Bergamo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 23%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vogherese Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Vogherese
6:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vogherese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fornari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vogherese 10 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vogherese Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ciserano-Bergamo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Vogherese scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Ciserano-Bergamo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vogherese VS Ciserano-Bergamo
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 50%
86% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vogherese

(Home)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 6

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)