Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Muzio C.
(Penalty)
28'
28'
Monza E.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Bordon P.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Vogherese and Fossano finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fossano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fossano come out ahead of Vogherese on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Fossano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 16%
Fossano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vogherese | Fossano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 23 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.64 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs Fossano
2:2
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Vogherese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vogherese Compare
Top Goalscorer Bordon P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Fossano Compare
Top Goalscorer Polli L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vogherese 10 / 100
Fossano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vogherese Fossano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fossano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fossano has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Fossano lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Vogherese scored in 52% of their last 33 games.
Scoring Trends
Vogherese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vogherese
(Home) 03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1 Vogherese
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
28 Mar
Vogherese
0 : 2 Pavia
15 Mar
Vogherese
1 : 6 Scanzorosciate
15 Feb
Vogherese
0 : 0 Varesina
Page 1 of 4
Fossano
(Away) 04 May
Chisola
5 : 0 Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1 AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1 Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2 Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0 Fossano
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0 Fossano
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1 Fossano
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0 Fossano
23 Mar
Vado
2 : 1 Fossano
02 Mar
Asti Calcio
3 : 0 Fossano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bra | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 70:24 | 78 |
| 2 | NovaRomentin | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 75:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Gozzano | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 52:34 | 65 |
| 4 | Vado | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 51:37 | 65 |
| 5 | Lavagnese | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 49:35 | 64 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 47:34 | 62 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 55:42 | 58 |
| 8 | Chisola | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 43:37 | 50 |
| 9 | Saluzzo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 39:35 | 50 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 31:33 | 45 |
| 11 | Asti Calcio | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 36:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41:50 | 44 |
| 13 | Oltrepo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 38:59 | 40 |
| 14 | Imperia Calcio | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Vogherese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 31:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Cairese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 32:47 | 37 |
| 17 | AC Chieri | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Borgaro | 36 | 8 | 4 | 24 | 34:77 | 28 |
| 19 | Fossano | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 31:63 | 26 |
| 20 | Albenga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | -1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
