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Vogherese vs PDHA

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Balesini N.
48' Event
Marcaletti E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vogherese
15%
Draws
85%
PDHA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PDHA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vogherese average 0.78 goals a game right now, well clear of PDHA's 0.63.
  • Win probability leans PDHA's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 16%
PDHA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vogherese PDHA
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.78 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs PDHA
1:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Vogherese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vogherese Compare

Top Goalscorer Balesini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

PDHA Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcaletti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vogherese 10 / 100
PDHA 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vogherese PDHA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PDHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PDHA has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

PDHA lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vogherese's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vogherese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vogherese

(Home)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 8

PDHA

(Away)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)