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Volda vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Austberg I.
45' Event
Thorsen E.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Dyrhol Aambo E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Volda and Melhus finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Volda
22%
Draws
18%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Volda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Melhus's 2.5 goals per match outpaces what Volda have produced (2.38).
  • Model gives Volda a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Volda Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volda Melhus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Volda vs Melhus
2:4
Oct 11, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Volda vs Melhus
2:1
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Volda
3:1
Oct 10, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Volda vs Melhus
1:2
Sep 26, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Volda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volda Compare

Top Goalscorer Aarseth W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Austberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myrle G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volda 56 / 100
Melhus 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volda Melhus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volda's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Volda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Melhus has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Volda VS Melhus
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%