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Volda vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Volda play Surnadal in the Division 3 - Group 2 2025. Volda are favorites here. Recently, Volda averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Surnadal averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Volda won 3, Surnadal won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 13, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Volda and 1.38 for Surnadal. This points to a Volda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Volda
6%
Draws
4%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Volda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Volda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Surnadal.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Volda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 3 - Group 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Volda Clean Sheet 68%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volda Surnadal
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Volda vs Surnadal
5:0
May 24, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Volda
2:3
Sep 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Volda
2:2
May 14, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Volda vs Surnadal
5:2
Aug 10, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Surnadal vs Volda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volda Compare

Top Goalscorer Hole K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Froysa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Surnadal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volda 95 / 100
Surnadal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volda Surnadal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volda scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Surnadal let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Volda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Surnadal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Volda VS Surnadal
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%