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Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FC Oryol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Severyanov I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Volna Nizhegorodskaya and FC Oryol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volna Nizhegorodskaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
15%
Draws
39%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Volna Nizhegorodskaya come out ahead of FC Oryol on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya Clean Sheet 20%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volna Nizhegorodskaya FC Oryol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FC Oryol
1:0
May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volna Nizhegorodskaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Severyanov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 31 / 100
FC Oryol 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volna Nizhegorodskaya FC Oryol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volna Nizhegorodskaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Volna Nizhegorodskaya scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Oryol conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Volna Nizhegorodskaya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Volna Nizhegorodskaya VS FC Oryol
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Volna Nizhegorodskaya

(Home)
10 Oct
Kursk
0 : 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
03 Oct
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
13 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
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FC Oryol

(Away)
11 Oct
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 0
FC Oryol
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
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