Sport Picks

Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Volna Stadium, Pinsk

Volna Pinsk

2 - 3

FC Minsk

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Dubinets I.

35'

Simanenka T.

46'

Sub

Borubaev G. In: Migdalenok A.

Out: Borubaev G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with FC Minsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Volna Pinsk

40%

Draws

29%

FC Minsk

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Volna Pinsk come out ahead of FC Minsk on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Volna Pinsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FC Minsk, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors FC Minsk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 15%

FC Minsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Volna Pinsk	FC Minsk
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	2	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Belarusian Cup

Volna Pinsk vs FC Minsk

2:3

Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly

FC Minsk vs Volna Pinsk

7:0

Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly

FC Minsk vs Volna Pinsk

0:1

Jul 5, 2017 Belarusian Cup

Volna Pinsk vs FC Minsk

0:1

Aug 16, 2008 Pershaya Liga

Volna Pinsk vs FC Minsk

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volna Pinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Matyash D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Polkhovskiy K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubinets I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Simanenka T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volna Pinsk 31 / 100

FC Minsk 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Volna Pinsk FC Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volna Pinsk scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Volna Pinsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Volna Pinsk VS FC Minsk

2 Goals Scored 1.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Volna Pinsk

(Home)

25 Jul

Volna Pinsk

3 : 1

Orsha

19 Jul

Volna Pinsk

0 : 5

Slavia Mozyr

12 Jul

Volna Pinsk

2 : 4

Soligorsk

05 Jul

Smorgon

1 : 3

Volna Pinsk

27 Jun

Volna Pinsk

2 : 1

BumProm Gomel

Page 1 of 6

FC Minsk

(Away)

25 Jul

Belshina

1 : 2

FC Minsk

18 Jul

Smorgon

3 : 4

FC Minsk

10 Jul

Dnepr Mogilev

1 : 2

FC Minsk

02 Jul

FC Minsk

0 : 3

Din. Minsk

27 Jun

Dynamo Brest

0 : 0

FC Minsk

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Stanles Pinsk0

Volna Pinsk3

TBD-

FC Minsk-

Drut Belynichi0

Orsha2

TBD-

Dynamo Brest-

Polotsk0

FK Baranovici5

TBD-

ML Vitebsk-

Svisloch1

FC Slonim4

TBD-

Neman-

Gazovik Vitebsk0

Ostrovets6

TBD-

Slutsk-

FK Miory0

Niva Dolbizno4

TBD-

Isloch Minsk-

Mozyrskiy NPZ0

Lokomotiv Gomel3

TBD-

Din. Minsk-

Dnepr Mogilev-

TBD-

Vitebsk-

Krechet0

Osipovichi4

TBD-

Slavia Mozyr-

Technolog Mogilev0

DMedia6

TBD-

FC Gomel-

FK Inform0

FK Lida6

TBD-

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-

Belshina-

TBD-

Molodechno-

Nadezhda Baranovici0

Uni X Labs2

TBD-

Smorgon-

Neman Mosty0

BumProm Gomel4

TBD-

Zhodino-

Bobovnya1

Krumkachy2

TBD-

Naftan-

Agro Pelishche0

SKA-1938 Minsk2

TBD-

BATE-

1/16-finals

Volna Pinsk2

FC Minsk3

Orsha1

Dynamo Brest8

FK Baranovici1

ML Vitebsk2

FC Slonim1

Neman0

Ostrovets0

Slutsk3

Niva Dolbizno0

Isloch Minsk4

Lokomotiv Gomel1

Din. Minsk2

Dnepr Mogilev0

Vitebsk1

Osipovichi1

Slavia Mozyr5

DMedia0

FC Gomel2

FK Lida0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1

Belshina0

Molodechno3

Uni X Labs0

Smorgon2

BumProm Gomel0

Zhodino2

Krumkachy1

Naftan2

SKA-1938 Minsk0

BATE1

1/8-finals

FC Minsk2

Dynamo Brest3

ML Vitebsk8

FC Slonim1

Slutsk1

Isloch Minsk2

Din. Minsk2

Vitebsk1

Slavia Mozyr1

FC Gomel0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1

Molodechno0

Smorgon0

Zhodino4

Naftan3

BATE4

Quarter-finals

Dynamo Brest0

ML Vitebsk4

Isloch Minsk1

Din. Minsk2

Slavia Mozyr4

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0

Zhodino1

BATE2

Semi-finals

ML Vitebsk0

Din. Minsk3

Slavia Mozyr0

BATE3

Final

Din. Minsk1

BATE2