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Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gabriel Amaral
42' Event
Santana R.
55' Event
Barbier

AI Match Summary

Volta Redonda U20 in this Carioca U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volta Redonda U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Volta Redonda U20
35%
Draws
37%
Nova Iguacu U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nova Iguacu U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Iguacu U20 have won more games recently than Volta Redonda U20.
  • Win probability leans Nova Iguacu U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Volta Redonda U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Volta Redonda U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda U20 Nova Iguacu U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 Carioca U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Volta Redonda U20
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 Carioca U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
3:1
Mar 30, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbier
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Bom
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Amaral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda U20 28 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda U20 Nova Iguacu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Iguacu U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Iguacu U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Volta Redonda U20's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Volta Redonda U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Volta Redonda U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 2
Portuguesa RJ U20
25 Sept
Marica U20
1 : 0
Volta Redonda U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
12 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
6 : 2
Volta Redonda U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 6

Nova Iguacu U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)