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Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gabriel Amaral
42' Event
Santana R.
55' Event
Barbier

AI Match Summary

Volta Redonda U20 in this Carioca U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volta Redonda U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Volta Redonda U20
11%
Draws
80%
Nova Iguacu U20
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nova Iguacu U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Volta Redonda U20 have won more games recently than Nova Iguacu U20.
  • Win probability leans Nova Iguacu U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Volta Redonda U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Volta Redonda U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda U20 Nova Iguacu U20
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 Carioca U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Volta Redonda U20
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 Carioca U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
3:1
Mar 30, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbier
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Bom
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Amaral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda U20 12 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda U20 Nova Iguacu U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volta Redonda U20 scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Nova Iguacu U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nova Iguacu U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco U201182124:1026
2Flamengo RJ U201181227:925
3Botafogo RJ U201161419:1219
4Fluminense U201153314:1118
5Volta Redonda U201152414:2417
6Bangu U201143410:1415
7Marica U201142511:1314
8Portuguesa RJ U201141612:1013
9Sampaio Correa FE U201134414:1913
10Madureira U201133514:1912
11Nova Iguacu U20112279:178
12Boavista U201112810:205