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Volta Redonda vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Raulino de Oliveira, Volta Redonda
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Wesley Gasolina
16' Event
Pedro Costa
28' Event
Wesley Gasolina

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Volta Redonda
39%
Draws
30%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Volta Redonda have produced (0.75).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 20%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda Avai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Volta Redonda
3:0
May 20, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Volta Redonda vs Avai
2:2
Oct 9, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Volta Redonda
3:0
Jun 17, 2025 Serie B
Volta Redonda vs Avai
1:1
Apr 24, 2013 Copa Betano do Brasil
Avai vs Volta Redonda
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Gasolina
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Penha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda 32 / 100
Avai 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Volta Redonda scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Volta Redonda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Volta Redonda VS Avai
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Volta Redonda

(Home)
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Maringa FC
4 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Avai

(Away)
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chapecoense-SC4
Novorizontino2
Avai5
Volta Redonda2
Final
Chapecoense-SC3
Avai4